๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์ฆ์‹œ ์บ˜๋ฆฐ๋” | 2026๋…„ 6์›” 3์ฃผ์ฐจ ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ & 6์›” 4์ฃผ์ฐจ ๊ด€์ „ ํฌ์ธํŠธ

๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์ฆ์‹œ ์บ˜๋ฆฐ๋” | 2026๋…„ 6์›” 3์ฃผ์ฐจ ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ & 6์›” 4์ฃผ์ฐจ ๊ด€์ „ ํฌ์ธํŠธ Money Briefing · ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์ฆ์‹œ ์บ˜๋ฆฐ๋” 2026๋…„ 6์›” 3์ฃผ์ฐจ ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ & 6์›” 4์ฃผ์ฐจ ๊ด€์ „ ํฌ์ธํŠธ ์†Œ๋งคํŒ๋งค ์„œํ”„๋ผ์ด์ฆˆ, ์›Œ์‹œ์˜ ์ฒซ ๋งคํŒŒ ํ–‰๋ณด, ๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  PCE๋ผ๋Š” ๋‹ค์Œ ๊ด€๋ฌธ 6์›” 3์ฃผ์ฐจ๋Š” ํ•œ ๋ฌธ์žฅ์œผ๋กœ ์š”์•ฝ๋œ๋‹ค. ์†Œ๋น„๋Š” ์˜ˆ์ƒ์„ ์›ƒ๋Œ์•˜๊ณ , ์—ฐ์ค€์€ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋ณด๋‹ค ๋” ๋งคํŒŒ์ ์ด์—ˆ๋‹ค. ์‹œ์žฅ์€ ์ด ๋‘ ๊ฐ€์ง€๋ฅผ ๋™์‹œ์— ์†Œํ™”ํ•ด์•ผ ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ๊ทธ ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ๊ฐ€ ์ฑ„๊ถŒ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ์™€ ์ฆ์‹œ ๋ณ€๋™์„ฑ์œผ๋กœ ๊ณ ์Šค๋ž€ํžˆ ๋‚˜ํƒ€๋‚ฌ๋‹ค. ์†Œ๋น„๊ฐ€ ๊ฐ•ํ–ˆ๋‹ค๋Š” ๊ฑด ์ข‹์€ ๋‰ด์Šค์˜€๋‹ค ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ ๊ฐ•ํ•œ ์†Œ๋น„๋Š” ๋™์‹œ์— "๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ๋ฅผ ๋” ์ฒœ์ฒœํžˆ ๋‚ด๋ ค๋„ ๋œ๋‹ค"๋Š” ์—ฐ์ค€์˜ ๋ช…๋ถ„์ด ๋˜๊ธฐ๋„ ํ–ˆ๋‹ค 6์›” 3์ฃผ์ฐจ ์ฃผ์š” ์ง€ํ‘œ ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ ์†Œ๋งคํŒ๋งค (5์›”, 6์›” 17์ผ ๋ฐœํ‘œ) ์ „์ฒด ์†Œ๋งคํŒ๋งค (MoM) ์˜ˆ์ƒ ๋Œ€ํญ ์ƒํšŒ ์‹ค์ œ 0.9% ์˜ˆ์ƒ 0.5% ์ „์›” 0.4% 5์›” ์†Œ๋งคํŒ๋งค๋Š” ์‹œ์žฅ ์˜ˆ์ƒ์น˜์˜ ๊ฑฐ์˜ ๋‘ ๋ฐฐ์— ๋‹ฌํ•˜๋Š” ์ฆ๊ฐ€์œจ์„ ๊ธฐ๋กํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ž๋™์ฐจ ํŒ๋งค๊ฐ€ ์ „์›” 0.9% ๊ฐ์†Œ์—์„œ 1.2% ์ฆ๊ฐ€๋กœ ๋ฐ˜๋“ฑํ–ˆ๊ณ , ํœ˜๋ฐœ์œ  ํŒ๋งค๋„ 3.4% ๋Š˜์—ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ทผ์› ์†Œ๋งคํŒ๋งค (Control Group) ์˜ˆ์ƒ ์ƒํšŒ ์‹ค์ œ 0.7% ์˜ˆ์ƒ 0.4% GDP ์‚ฐ์ถœ์— ์ง์ ‘ ๋ฐ˜์˜๋˜๋Š” ๊ทผ์› ์†Œ๋งคํŒ๋งค(์ž๋™์ฐจ·๊ฑด์ถ•์ž์žฌ·์ฃผ์œ ์†Œ·์™ธ์‹ ์ œ์™ธ)๋„ ๊ฒฌ์กฐํ•œ ์ฆ๊ฐ€์„ธ๋ฅผ ๋ณด์˜€๋‹ค. ์ด๋Š” ๋‹จ์ˆœ ์œ ๊ฐ€ ํšจ๊ณผ๋ฅผ ๋„˜์–ด์„  ์‹ค์งˆ์ ์ธ ์†Œ๋น„ ์ฒด๋ ฅ์œผ๋กœ ํ•ด์„๋œ๋‹ค. ๐Ÿ“Œ US Census Bureau (2026.6.17) 2026๋…„ 5์›” ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์†Œ๋งค...

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์ •๋ถ€ ์ „๋žต ์‚ฐ์—… ์ง€๋ถ„ ํ™•๋ณด ํ˜„ํ™ฉ (2025)

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์ •๋ถ€ ์ „๋žต ์‚ฐ์—… ์ง€๋ถ„ ํ™•๋ณด ํ˜„ํ™ฉ (2025)

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์ •๋ถ€ ์ „๋žต ์‚ฐ์—… ์ง€๋ถ„ ํ™•๋ณด ํ˜„ํ™ฉ (2025)

⚡ ๋˜ ํ•˜๋‚˜์˜ ์ œํ…Œํฌ ์ ˆ์„ธ ๊ฟ€ํŒ

1. ๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด: ์ธํ…”(Intel, INTC)

์ง€๋ถ„ ํ™•๋ณด: 2025๋…„ 8์›”, ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์ •๋ถ€ 89์–ต ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ํˆฌ์ž → 9.9% ์ง€๋ถ„ ํ™•๋ณด

์ •์ฑ… ๋ชฉ์ : ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ๋‚ด ๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด ๊ณต๊ธ‰๋ง ์ž๋ฆฝ์„ฑ ๊ฐ•ํ™”, AI·๊ตญ๋ฐฉ ๊ธฐ์ˆ  ์šฐ์œ„ ํ™•๋ณด

์ฃผ์š” ๋‰ด์Šค: CNBC: US Government Invests $8B in Intel

์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ๋ณ€๋™: ์ง€๋ถ„ ํ™•๋ณด ๋ฐœํ‘œ ์ „ $24.93 → ๋ฐœํ‘œ ํ›„ $33.55 (์ƒ์Šน๋ฅ  ์•ฝ 34.7%)

2. ํฌ๊ท€๊ด‘๋ฌผ: ๋ฆฌํŠฌ ๋ฐ ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜

2-1. ๋ฆฌํŠฌ ์•„๋ฉ”๋ฆฌ์นด์Šค (Lithium Americas, LAC)

์ง€๋ถ„ ํ™•๋ณด: 2025๋…„ 9์›” 30์ผ, ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์ •๋ถ€ 5% ์ง€๋ถ„ ํ™•๋ณด

์ •์ฑ… ๋ชฉ์ : ๋ฆฌํŠฌ ๊ณต๊ธ‰๋ง ๋‹ค๋ณ€ํ™”, ์ „๊ธฐ์ฐจ·์žฌ์ƒ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ์‚ฐ์—… ์ง€์›

์ฃผ์š” ๋‰ด์Šค: Reuters: US Government Takes 5% Stake in Lithium Americas

์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ๋ณ€๋™: ์ง€๋ถ„ ํ™•๋ณด ๋ฐœํ‘œ ์ „ $5.74 → ๋ฐœํ‘œ ํ›„ $5.71

2-2. MP ๋จธํ‹ฐ๋ฆฌ์–ผ์Šค (MP Materials, MP)

์ง€๋ถ„ ํ™•๋ณด: 2025๋…„ 7์›”, ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ๊ตญ๋ฐฉ๋ถ€ 15% ์ง€๋ถ„ ํ™•๋ณด

์ •์ฑ… ๋ชฉ์ : ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ์ž์› ํ™•๋ณด, ๊ตญ๋ฐฉ·์ฒจ๋‹จ ์‚ฐ์—… ๊ณต๊ธ‰๋ง ๊ฐ•ํ™”

์ฃผ์š” ๋‰ด์Šค: Bipartisan Policy: DOD Bets Big on Rare Earth Elements

์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ๋ณ€๋™: ์ง€๋ถ„ ํ™•๋ณด ๋ฐœํ‘œ ์ „ $64.11 → ๋ฐœํ‘œ ํ›„ $67.07 (์ƒ์Šน๋ฅ  ์•ฝ 4.7%)

3. ์šฐ๋ผ๋Š„ ์‚ฐ์—… ์ •์ฑ…

๋Œ€ํ‘œ ๊ธฐ์—…: Energy Fuels (UUUU), Uranium Energy Corp. (UEC), Cameco Corp. (CCJ), Denison Mines Corp. (DNN)

์ •๋ถ€ ์ง€๋ถ„: ๊ณต์‹ ๋ฐœํ‘œ ์—†์Œ

์ •์ฑ…: 2025๋…„ 3์›”, ํŠธ๋Ÿผํ”„ ๋Œ€ํ†ต๋ น ํ–‰์ •๋ช…๋ น ‘Immediate Measures to Increase American Mineral Production’

์ฃผ์š” ๋‰ด์Šค: White House: Immediate Measures to Increase American Mineral Production

4. ์ œ์•ฝ ์‚ฐ์—… ์ „๋žต

๋Œ€ํ‘œ ๊ธฐ์—…: Pfizer, Bristol Myers Squibb, Roche, Novartis, McKesson

์ •๋ถ€ ์ง€๋ถ„: ๊ณต์‹ ๋ฐœํ‘œ ์—†์Œ

์ •์ฑ…: 2025๋…„ 8์›”, ์ „๋žต์  ํ™œ์„ฑ ์ œ์•ฝ ์›๋ฃŒ ๋น„์ถ• ํ”„๋กœ๊ทธ๋žจ ์‹œํ–‰

์ฃผ์š” ๋‰ด์Šค: White House: Strategic API Reserve Program

5. ์ข…ํ•ฉ ํ˜„ํ™ฉ ๋ฐ ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ๋ณ€๋™

๋ถ„์•ผ๊ธฐ์—…๋ช… / ํ‹ฐ์ปค์ •๋ถ€ ์ง€๋ถ„ ํ™•๋ณด ์—ฌ๋ถ€ํ™•๋ณด ์‹œ์ ์ง€๋ถ„์œจ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ๋ณ€๋™์ƒ์Šน๋ฅ (%)์ •์ฑ… ๋ชฉ์  / ๊ณต์‹ ๋ฐœ์–ธ์ถœ์ฒ˜
๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒดIntel (INTC)2025-089.9%$24.93 → $33.5534.7%๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด ๊ณต๊ธ‰๋ง ์ž๋ฆฝ์„ฑ ๊ฐ•ํ™”, AI·๊ตญ๋ฐฉ ๊ธฐ์ˆ  ์šฐ์œ„ ํ™•๋ณดCNBC
ํฌ๊ท€๊ด‘๋ฌผLithium Americas (LAC)2025-09-305%$5.74 → $5.71์•ฝ 0%๋ฆฌํŠฌ ๊ณต๊ธ‰๋ง ๋‹ค๋ณ€ํ™”, ์ „๊ธฐ์ฐจ·์žฌ์ƒ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ์‚ฐ์—… ์ง€์›Reuters
ํฌ๊ท€๊ด‘๋ฌผMP Materials (MP)2025-0715%$64.11 → $67.074.7%ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ์ž์› ํ™•๋ณด, ๊ตญ๋ฐฉ·์ฒจ๋‹จ ์‚ฐ์—… ๊ณต๊ธ‰๋ง ๊ฐ•ํ™”Bipartisan Policy
์šฐ๋ผ๋Š„Energy Fuels ๋“ฑ๊ตญ๋‚ด ์šฐ๋ผ๋Š„ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ํ™•๋Œ€ ์ •์ฑ…, ์™ธ๊ตญ ์˜์กด๋„ ์ถ•์†ŒWhite House
์ œ์•ฝPfizer, BMS ๋“ฑ์ „๋žต์  ์ œ์•ฝ ์›๋ฃŒ ๋น„์ถ•, ๊ณต๊ธ‰๋ง ํšŒ๋ณต๋ ฅ ๊ฐ•ํ™”White House

6. ๊ฒฐ๋ก 

๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์ •๋ถ€๋Š” ๊ณต๊ธ‰๋ง ์ทจ์•ฝ์„ฑ ํ•ด์†Œ์™€ ๊ตญ๊ฐ€ ์•ˆ๋ณด ๊ฐ•ํ™”๋ฅผ ์œ„ํ•ด ์ „๋žต์  ์‚ฐ์—…์— ์ง์ ‘ ํˆฌ์ž + ์ •์ฑ… ์ง€์›์„ ๋ณ‘ํ–‰ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ํ˜„์žฌ ๊ณต์‹ ์ง€๋ถ„ ํ™•๋ณด ๊ธฐ์—…์€ Intel, Lithium Americas, MP Materials์ด๋ฉฐ, ์šฐ๋ผ๋Š„ ๋ฐ ์ œ์•ฝ ์‚ฐ์—…์€ ์ •์ฑ…๋งŒ ์ง„ํ–‰ ์ค‘์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

ํ–ฅํ›„ ์šฐ๋ผ๋Š„ ๋ฐ ์ œ์•ฝ ์‚ฐ์—…์—์„œ๋„ ์ง€๋ถ„ ํ™•๋ณด ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ์ด ์—ด๋ ค ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๊ด€๋ จ ๊ธฐ์—…๋“ค์˜ ์„ฑ์žฅ ์ž ์žฌ๋ ฅ๊ณผ ํˆฌ์ž ๊ธฐํšŒ๊ฐ€ ๋†’์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

์ถœ์ฒ˜: Intel | Reuters | Bipartisan Policy | White House | CNBC

* ๋ณธ ๊ธ€์€ ์‹ ๋ขฐํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋Š” ๊ณต์‹ ์ž๋ฃŒ์™€ ๋ถ„์„์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ์ž‘์„ฑ๋œ ์ •๋ณด ์ œ๊ณต์šฉ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ํˆฌ์ž, ๊ฒฝ์ œ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๋˜๋Š” ์ •์ฑ… ํŒ๋‹จ์„ ๋Œ€์‹ ํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๋ชจ๋“  ์ฑ…์ž„์€ ๋…์ž ๋ณธ์ธ์—๊ฒŒ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

⚡ ๋˜ ํ•˜๋‚˜์˜ ์ œํ…Œํฌ ์ ˆ์„ธ ๊ฟ€ํŒ

์ด ๋ธ”๋กœ๊ทธ์˜ ์ธ๊ธฐ ๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋ฌผ

๋น…ํ…Œํฌ ์‹ค์  ๋ฐœํ‘œ: ์ฃผ์‹์‹œ์žฅ ์˜ํ–ฅ

๊ณ ํ™˜์œจ ์† ํ•œ๊ตญ์‹œ์žฅ ์œ„๊ธฐ์„ค 1ํŽธ

๊ณ ํ™˜์œจ ์† ํ•œ๊ตญ์‹œ์žฅ ์œ„๊ธฐ์„ค 2ํŽธ